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3

Reventador

9yo Gelding · 9-4

Vichy · Prix De Saint-didier-la-foret Claiming Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#3

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Marseille 05/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 1235/014C0 @ Marseille 10/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 132C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 22/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 67 · 1m3f204y Ver 147 · beat its mark22/02/2026 · OR 67 par22/02C5OR 674 @ Marseille-borely 03/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 67 · 1m4f203y Hvy 127 · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 67 par4 @ Salon-De-Provence 16/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12716/0444 @ Marseille-borely 06/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f203y Ver 1254 @ Salon-De-Provence 17/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12417/0643 @ Saint-Cloud 28/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 131 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f202y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS23/073projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Vichy36th5th+1
2026-06-28Saint-Cloud36th5th+1
2026-06-17Salon-De-Provence410th10th0
2026-05-06Marseille-borely48th8th0
2026-04-16Salon-De-Provence46th6th0
2026-04-03Marseille-borely44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/013/0417/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/01/20264th11/142%73%+0.31
10/02/20262nd6/168%89%+0.20
22/02/20267th8/158%33%-0.25
03/04/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
16/04/20266th6/168%44%-0.24
06/05/20268th18/15%30%+0.25
17/06/202610th12/137%10%-0.27
28/06/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
23/07/20266th18/15%67%+0.61