1

Loving Queen

3yo Filly · 9-9

Vichy · Prix Antoine Nucera Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#2

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

29%

Place Prob

39%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon La Soie 11/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 67 · 1m2f151y Std 124 · beat its mark11/03/2026 · OR 67 par11/03C5OR 67C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 05/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 67 · 1m1f207y Hvy 124 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 67 parC0 @ Le Lion D'angers 20/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 13220/04C?C5 @ Angers 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 67 · 1m3f95y Gd 128 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 67 parC0 @ Dieppe 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 13616/05C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 28/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 1303 @ Argentan 10/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 67 · 1m2f96y Gd 120 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 67 par10/063OR 67C0 @ La Teste De Buch 26/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Gd 123C0 @ Vichy 21/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12021/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Vichy?6th6th0
2026-06-26La Teste De Buch?1st1st0
2026-06-10Argentan31st1st0
2026-05-28ParisLongchamp?10th10th0
2026-05-16Dieppe?7th7th0
2026-05-02Angers?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/032/0510/0621/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength86%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/03/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
05/04/20264th7/163%73%+0.10
20/04/202610th12/137%0%-0.37
02/05/20266th50/10%55%+0.55
16/05/20267th11/142%25%-0.17
28/05/202610th100/10%25%+0.25
10/06/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
26/06/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
21/07/20266th14/126%64%+0.38