4

Skali

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Vichy · Prix Antoine Nucera Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pau 11/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12811/01C5C5 @ Marseille-borely 06/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1286/05C5C5 @ Marseille-borely 18/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f203y GS 12818/05C5C5 @ Marseille 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12820/06C5C0 @ Vichy 22/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12322/07C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Vichy?7th7th0
2026-06-20Marseille?4th4th0
2026-05-18Marseille-borely?6th6th0
2026-05-06Marseille-borely?5th5th0
2026-01-11Pau?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/016/0518/0520/0622/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/01/20265th2/189%33%-0.56
06/05/20265th11/142%71%+0.29
18/05/20266th3/184%44%-0.40
20/06/20264th25/10%57%+0.57
22/07/20267th33/10%54%+0.54