5
Louiza
3yo Filly · 8-12
Vichy · Prix De Saint-palais Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 43y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
34%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |