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3

St Marksman

3yo Colt · 9-2

Vichy · Prix De Saint-palais Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 43y

#5

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ ParisLongchamp 31/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12831/08C5C5 @ Chantilly 15/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 120C5 @ Chantilly 14/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12014/10C5C1 @ Deauville 02/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Chantilly 23/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f101y Std 12823/03C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 03/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 128C5 @ Saint-Cloud 05/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1285/05C5C5 @ Craon 04/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 128C5 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12813/07C5projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Dieppe?7th7th0
2026-06-04Craon?5th5th0
2026-05-05Saint-Cloud?4th4th0
2026-04-03Saint-Cloud?7th7th0
2026-03-23Chantilly?5th5th0
2025-11-02Deauville?7th3rd+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/082/115/0513/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20259th22/10%0%0.00
15/09/20255th40/10%33%+0.33
14/10/20255th33/10%43%+0.43
02/11/20257th50/10%0%0.00
23/03/20265th22/10%33%+0.33
03/04/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
05/05/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
04/06/20265th11/142%50%+0.08
13/07/20267th33/10%14%+0.14