1

King Wood

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Vichy · Prix Saint-pourcain-sur-sioule Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dax 01/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1281/05C5C5 @ Tarbes 11/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 12811/05C5C0 @ Toulouse 08/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1178/06C?C5 @ Tarbes 03/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1283/07C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Tarbes?5th7th2
2026-06-08Toulouse?10th10th0
2026-05-11Tarbes?9th11th2
2026-05-01Dax?9th11th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0511/058/063/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20269th28/10%38%+0.38
11/05/20269th25/10%11%+0.11
08/06/202610th80/10%10%+0.10
03/07/20265th20/10%56%+0.56