8

Meliora

3yo Filly · 8-8

Vichy · Prix Saint-pourcain-sur-sioule Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 02/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1202/10C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 21/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12421/10C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-21Clairefontaine?8th10th2
2025-10-02Chantilly?7th9th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1021/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20257th16/116%40%+0.24
21/10/20258th14/126%46%+0.20