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7

Naos Moon

3yo Filly · 8-8

Vichy · Prix Saint-pourcain-sur-sioule Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#6

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon-Parilly 03/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 1243/09C5C5 @ Strasbourg 11/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f155y Hvy 11711/11C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 05/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1245/12C5C5 @ Pornichet 14/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m99y Std 12814/12C5C5 @ Vichy 24/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12424/07C5projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Vichy?12th14th−2
2025-12-14Pornichet?11th13th−2
2025-12-05Lyon La Soie?10th12th−2
2025-11-11Strasbourg?7th9th−2
2025-09-03Lyon-Parilly?10th12th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0911/115/1214/1224/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength15%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/202510th33/10%0%0.00
11/11/20257th33/10%0%0.00
05/12/202510th33/10%18%+0.18
14/12/202511th66/10%9%+0.09
24/07/202612th66/10%8%+0.08