6
Princess Alice
3yo Filly · 8-8
Vichy · Prix Saint-pourcain-sur-sioule Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-04-07 | Lignieres | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-03-02 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-01-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 26/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 21/01/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 22% | -0.41 |
| 27/01/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 02/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 19/07/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |