7
Perceval
3yo Colt · 8-13
Vichy · Prix De Durtol Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pornichet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 18/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.33 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.31 |
| 13/04/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 09/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |