4
Santa Luzia
3yo Filly · 9-5
Vichy · Prix De Durtol Handicap · 7f 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/11/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 21/05/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |