3
Apollon
7yo Gelding · 9-3
Vichy · Prix Des Proprietaires De Paray-le-fresil Handicap · 7f 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Saint-Malo | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 62% | -0.24 |
| 24/09/2025 | 13th | 6/1 | 68% | 8% | -0.61 |
| 06/11/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.25 |
| 09/06/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 56% | +0.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |