8
Cote D'or
4yo Gelding · 8-12
Vichy · Prix Des Proprietaires De Paray-le-fresil Handicap · 7f 209y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Marseille | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 08/12/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 19/01/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 54% | -0.04 |
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 22/02/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 27% | -0.44 |
| 04/03/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 58% | +0.00 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |