1
Elusive Glory
5yo Gelding · 9-6
Vichy · Prix Des Proprietaires De Paray-le-fresil Handicap · 7f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-06-16 | Compiegne | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength85%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/04/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 79% | +0.73 |
| 21/05/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 77% | +0.35 |
| 07/06/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.41 |
| 16/06/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 05/07/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 31% | -0.17 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 64% | -0.23 |