7
Hematite
4yo Filly · 8-12
Vichy · Prix Des Proprietaires De Paray-le-fresil Handicap · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲6877
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6889.6 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6881.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -6877.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 34392 | 13th | 41279th | −34388 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 10/03/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 19/03/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 05/06/2026 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/07/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 12/07/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/07/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |