4

Joyeuse De Romay

7yo Mare · 9-1

Vichy · Prix Des Proprietaires De Paray-le-fresil Handicap · 7f 209y

#2

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

59%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 19/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12019/07C?C0 @ Vichy 04/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 124C0 @ Moulins 25/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12125/08C?C0 @ Marseille 08/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f100y Std 1324 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12029/0344 @ Lyon-Parilly 18/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1214 @ Vichy 13/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12813/0544 @ Lyon-Parilly 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1324 @ Vichy 25/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12725/074projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Vichy410th10th0
2026-06-13Lyon-Parilly44th4th0
2026-05-13Vichy47th7th0
2026-04-18Lyon-Parilly49th9th0
2026-03-29Lyon-Parilly43rd3rd0
2025-10-08Marseille?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/078/1013/0525/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength42%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20253rd7/163%87%+0.24
04/08/20257th9/488%54%-0.34
25/08/202511th11/142%23%-0.19
08/10/20257th15/261%25%-0.36
29/03/20263rd18/15%83%+0.78
18/04/20269th12/137%38%+0.02
13/05/20267th9/276%60%-0.16
13/06/20264th7/282%70%-0.12
25/07/202610th15/261%18%-0.42