4

Joyeuse De Romay
7yo Mare · 9-1
Vichy · Prix Des Proprietaires De Paray-le-fresil Handicap · 7f 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Marseille | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 87% | +0.24 |
| 04/08/2025 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 54% | -0.34 |
| 25/08/2025 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 23% | -0.19 |
| 08/10/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.02 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 25/07/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 18% | -0.42 |