9
Teranga
6yo Mare · 8-10
Vichy · Prix Des Proprietaires De Paray-le-fresil Handicap · 7f 209y
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength39%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 21/01/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 05/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 13/03/2026 | 13th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 07/06/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 18/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/07/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 11/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |