1
Breizh Moon
6yo Mare · 10-1
Vichy · Prix Rene & Jacques Bedel Handicap · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength40%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-03-22 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Marseille | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-09 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 47% | -0.09 |
| 14/01/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 26/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 09/02/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 05/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 12/06/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.08 |
| 20/07/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |