7
Davallia
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vichy · Prix Rene & Jacques Bedel Handicap · 7f 209y
#13
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Nantes | 4 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chantilly | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Chantilly | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 18/11/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 87% | +0.81 |
| 14/12/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 10/01/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.00 |
| 02/04/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 11/05/2026 | 16th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 11/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |