5
Irbis
7yo Gelding · 9-9
Vichy · Prix Rene & Jacques Bedel Handicap · 7f 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength44%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 24/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 31/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 90% | +0.48 |
| 22/05/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 12/06/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.04 |
| 05/07/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |