8
Redsia Fal
4yo Filly · 9-7
Vichy · Prix Rene & Jacques Bedel Handicap · 7f 209y
#10
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Nantes | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Pornichet | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Pornichet | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Pornichet | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength25%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 15/10/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 07/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 27/02/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 11/05/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |