12
Wickbury
4yo Filly · 9-1
Vichy · Prix Rene & Jacques Bedel Handicap · 7f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 13.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C8.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 30 | 13th | 44th | −26 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/03/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 30/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 11/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 25/04/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.13 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |