Arya's Quest
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
66%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-22 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2024 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 23/11/2024 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 15/12/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/04/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 22/05/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |