5
I'm Tenacious
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 75
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 03/07/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 04/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |