6
Mckenzie Road
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength47%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 22/08/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 22% | -0.44 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |