4
Poetic Amy
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 69
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 23/01/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |