Pretty Liza
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 71
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 07/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |