Henna Gal
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 54
Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-10-10 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 20/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 10/10/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 30% | -0.38 |
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 30/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |