Lady Dayrells
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 65
Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-29 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-10-12 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |