2

Dancetotherhythm

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 81

Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 77 · 5f Fm 120 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 77 par30/08C8OR 77C8 @ Woodbine 20/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 78 · 6f 120 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 78 parC8 @ Woodbine 18/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 82 · 6f110y 121 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 82 par18/10C8OR 82C8 @ Woodbine 01/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 84 · 6f 119 · beat its mark01/11/2025 · OR 84 parC8 @ Woodbine 29/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 85 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 85 par29/11C8OR 85C8 @ Woodbine 13/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark13/12/2025 · OR 86 parC8 @ Woodbine 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 84 · 6f 123 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 84 par15/05C8OR 84C8 @ Woodbine 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 82 · 6f110y Fas 123 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Woodbine 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 83 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 83 par20/06C8OR 83projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Woodbine?4th4th0
2026-06-06Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2026-05-15Woodbine?6th6th0
2025-12-13Woodbine?1st1st0
2025-11-29Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2025-11-01Woodbine?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/081/1115/0520/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength72%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20253rd3/184%50%-0.34
20/09/20253rd11/893%60%-0.33
18/10/20255th9/488%33%-0.55
01/11/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
29/11/20252nd4/179%83%+0.04
13/12/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
15/05/20266th7/163%0%-0.63
06/06/20262nd7/163%83%+0.20
20/06/20264th10/382%40%-0.42