Prima
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-27 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 18/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 20/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |