5
Rocket Riley
6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |