9

Super Sicily

6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 85

Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 07/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 85 par7/11C8OR 85C7 @ Woodbine 29/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Gulfstream 15/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 95 · 5f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/01/2026 · OR 95 par15/01C7OR 95C7 @ Gulfstream 12/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 93 · 5f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/02/2026 · OR 93 parC6 @ Gulfstream 20/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 94 · 7f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 94 par20/03C6OR 94C6 @ Woodbine 18/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 87 · 5f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Woodbine 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 90 · 6f 123 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 90 par15/05C8OR 90C8 @ Woodbine 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 88 · 6f110y Fas 123 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 88 parC6 @ Woodbine 25/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 88 · 6f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 88 par25/06C6OR 88projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-25Woodbine?6th4th+2
2026-06-06Woodbine?1st1st0
2026-05-15Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2026-04-18Woodbine?3rd1st+2
2026-03-20Gulfstream?4th2nd+2
2026-02-12Gulfstream?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1112/0215/0525/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength30%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
29/11/20255th12/137%33%-0.04
15/01/20262nd20/10%80%+0.80
12/02/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19
20/03/20264th6/168%25%-0.43
18/04/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
15/05/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08
06/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
25/06/20266th8/158%17%-0.41