Verdejo
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 85
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 22/11/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |