4
Black Goddess
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 62
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-23 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 25/09/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 23/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |