
Blameless Ghost
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 82
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-28 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2024-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2024-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/08/2024 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 12/09/2024 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 04/10/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 02/11/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 29/11/2024 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 26/07/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 28/09/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |