1
Worry Less
6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 14/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 03/07/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 24/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/08/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |