2
Ami's Cry
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 67
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 11/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 25/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 12/10/2025 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 45% | -0.37 |
| 06/11/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/12/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |