6
Jinx Me
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 66
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
77%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength81%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 17/08/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |
| 27/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 11/12/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |