3
Ryo Amazing
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 59
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 05/09/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |