Seeking Magic
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 55
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 10/10/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |