2

Heart Tap

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 76

Woodbine · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

70%

Place Prob

48%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 11/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS11/09C6C6 @ Woodbine 27/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 81 · 7f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 81 parC7 @ Woodbine 25/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 76 · 7f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 76 par25/10C7OR 76C6 @ Woodbine 08/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 77 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/11/2025 · OR 77 parC6 @ Woodbine 29/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 77 par29/11C6OR 77C6 @ Woodbine 14/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 83 · 1m70y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 83 parC6 @ Woodbine 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 83 · 7f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 83 par23/05C6OR 83C7 @ Woodbine 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 84 · 7f110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Woodbine 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 80 par4/07C7OR 80projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Woodbine?7th5th+2
2026-06-11Woodbine?6th4th+2
2026-05-23Woodbine?8th5th+3
2025-12-14Woodbine?2nd-1th+3
2025-11-29Woodbine?3rd0th+3
2025-11-08Woodbine?2nd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/098/1123/054/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength31%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20254th5/174%40%-0.34
27/09/20256th10/147%38%-0.10
25/10/20253rd9/276%82%+0.06
08/11/20252nd20/10%83%+0.83
29/11/20253rd10/147%67%+0.19
14/12/20252nd15/890%80%-0.10
23/05/20268th25/10%22%+0.22
11/06/20266th10/147%29%-0.19
04/07/20267th14/126%14%-0.12