6
Hearty Christini
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 54
Woodbine · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-10-10 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 31/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 09/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |