1
Bermuda Brew
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 62
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |