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2

Chervonaruta

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 68

Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

83%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 12/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 71 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark12/09/2025 · OR 71 par12/09C7OR 71C7 @ Woodbine 17/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 1m110y Fas 121 · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 70 parC9 @ Woodbine 06/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 75 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark06/11/2025 · OR 75 par6/11C9OR 75C9 @ Woodbine 22/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 67 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 67 parC9 @ Woodbine 12/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 66 · 7f Fas 119 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 66 par12/12C9OR 66C9 @ Woodbine 22/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 68 · 1m110y 124 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 68 parC9 @ Woodbine 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 70 · 7f Fas 124 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 70 par5/06C9OR 70C7 @ Woodbine 05/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 65 · 7f110y Gd 122 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 65 parC7 @ Woodbine 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 66 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 66 par23/07C7OR 66projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2026-07-05Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2026-06-05Woodbine?3rd5th−2
2026-05-22Woodbine?3rd5th−2
2025-12-12Woodbine?6th8th−2
2025-11-22Woodbine?7th9th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0922/115/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength89%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/09/20253rd4/179%78%-0.01
17/10/20256th10/147%17%-0.31
06/11/20253rd6/168%67%-0.02
22/11/20257th5/174%0%-0.74
12/12/20256th16/116%38%+0.22
22/05/20263rd5/174%60%-0.14
05/06/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12
05/07/20262nd3/184%86%+0.02
23/07/20262nd7/491%88%-0.03