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3

Strawberry World

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 59

Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 06/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 71 · 7f110y 120 · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 71 par6/09C7OR 71C7 @ Woodbine 25/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 75 · 7f110y 118 · below its mark25/09/2025 · OR 75 parC9 @ Woodbine 10/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 72 · 6f 121 · below its mark10/10/2025 · OR 72 par10/10C9OR 72C9 @ Woodbine 25/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 72 · 6f110y Fas 119 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 72 parC9 @ Woodbine 13/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 69 · 1m110y Fas 119 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 69 par13/11C9OR 69C9 @ Woodbine 21/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 64 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 64 parC9 @ Woodbine 22/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 61 · 6f 123 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 61 par22/05C9OR 61C7 @ Woodbine 05/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 57 · 7f110y Gd 122 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 57 parC7 @ Woodbine 23/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 60 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 60 par23/07C7OR 60projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-07-05Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-05-22Woodbine?9th11th−2
2025-11-21Woodbine?3rd5th−2
2025-11-13Woodbine?10th12th−2
2025-10-25Woodbine?8th10th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0925/1022/0523/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength78%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20256th25/10%0%0.00
25/09/20254th33/10%67%+0.67
10/10/20253rd12/137%75%+0.38
25/10/20258th25/10%22%+0.22
13/11/202510th20/10%31%+0.31
21/11/20253rd12/137%75%+0.38
22/05/20269th16/116%11%-0.05
05/07/20263rd25/10%71%+0.71
23/07/20263rd12/137%75%+0.38