Crowdfunding
8yo Gelding · 9-7
Argentan · Prix De Longchamp Claiming Stakes · 6f 101y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 27% | -0.46 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 20/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |