14:43 · Nottingham

9 Pound Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap

1m 75yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 85
7/1
Revelance silks

Mr J C Smith

4yo Filly · 10-0

Blue Point - Mujabaha (Redoute's Choice)

James Doyle80%R M Beckett60%
397616
5.0

Back to best to win at Chepstow (1m, good to firm) last month but not in the same form when only sixth of 16 back there since.

Class Advantage

4/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par4/101/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par11/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par6/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par31/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 60%4/10Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 54%29/06Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%6/08Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%31/08
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.8%Ahead 2/4
9
Value2
OR 76
12/1
The Sweet Escape silks

David Lowe

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Zoustar - Stepping Out (Tagula)

Laura Pearson2/3D Loughnane
611210
7.0
Tongue strap

C&D scorer on good to soft in April and recorded 3 more wins on good to firm over the summer. Has soft ground as a possible excuse for a below-par effort at Haydock last time.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/063/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par14/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par1/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%10/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%14/07Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%14/08Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 18%5/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.8%Ahead 4/4
5
Market Fav3
OR 85
11/4
Kaindy silks

Mr Nurlan Bizakov

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Pinatubo - Dibajj (Iffraaj)

Ray Dawson60%1/3R Varian60%
72312
6.0

Useful sort who got off the mark with something to spare in novice at Kempton (7f) in August and went like the best horse at the weights (conceded first run) when second on 1m Lingfield handicap debut 3 weeks ago. Open to further progress and leading claims tackling turf for first time.

Class Advantage

13/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/107/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par10/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 45%13/10Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 88%7/11Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%5/08Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Actual: 100%26/08Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 80%10/09
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.1%Ahead 1/4
10
4
OR 75
5/1
Phantom Watch silks

Ambrose Racing Club Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Mohaather - Abhasana (Hawk Wing)

David Probert70%0/2H Palmer70%
341252
6.0Going 10.0
Visor

Advanced his form with a breakthrough win in 1m handicap at Newmarket in June and has backed it up with runner-up efforts on 2 of his 3 outings since. Likely to be on the premises again.

Class Advantage

28/12 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/12 · mark par28/1230/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%28/12Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%8/08Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 91%14/09
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.3%Ahead 2/4
7
5
OR 84
7/1
Rogue Defence silks

The Rogues Gallery & Partner

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Dark Angel - Rehn's Nest (Authorized)

Harry Davies60%Jack Jones
15143
5.0

Dark Angel gelding who won maiden/novice events over 1m on Lingfield's polytrack earlier in the year. Has bettered that form in defeat in a pair of all-weather handicaps since and remains relatively unexposed racing on turf for only a second time.

Class Advantage

28/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/0425/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par10/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%28/04Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 64%25/05Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%19/08Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 60%10/09
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.3%Ahead 2/4
1
7
OR 85
14/1
Empire Of Light silks

The Weighting Game

5yo Gelding · 10-0

Kodiac - Querulous (Raven's Pass)

Oliver Stammers3/7Grant Tuer
411100
4.0

Ended 2025 with a win at Chester and picked up where he left off when shading tight finishes at Haydock (10.5f, good to firm) and Thirsk (1m, good to soft) in the spring. Has found things harder in big-field events at York since but may fare better in these slightly calmer waters.

Class Advantage

14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/0920/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par25/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par16/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par6/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%14/09Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%25/04Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 15 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 15 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 7%13/06Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%6/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.1%Ahead 3/4
4
6
OR 85
8/1
Caim silks

Julie and David R Martin and Dan Hall

3yo Filly · 9-11

Oasis Dream - Prado (Iffraaj)

Callum Shepherd70%E Bethell70%
12496
4.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2

Made a winning start at Beverley last September and runner up in 7f listed event at Newbury a month later. Hasn't built on that as might have been expected in a trio of handicap starts this season and now gets first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

17/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/0925/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par20/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%17/09Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 86%25/10Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%26/05Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 56%20/08Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 55%5/09
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.1%Ahead 1/4
6
8
OR 82
16/1
We Dare To Dream silks

Baker Longden Lambert

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Dark Angel - Vestavia (Alhaarth)

Mark WinnD O'Meara80%
320060
2.0

On his last winning mark but absent since a below-par run over C&D just under a year ago so a watching brief is advised unless the betting suggests otherwise.

Class Advantage

7/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par7/065/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par31/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par8/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/10 · mark par8/10projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%7/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 21%31/07Pos 16 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 6%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%5/09Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%8/10
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.4%Ahead 2/4
3
10
OR 83
16/1
Itsatenfromlen silks

Daniel MacAuliffe & Anoj Don

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Sergei Prokofiev - Perfect Showdance (Showcasing)

S De Sousa60%0/1I Furtado60%
007190
2.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Winner at Jebel Ali for Doug Watson last November but well held at Meydan on next 2 outings and off for 8 months (has had breathing and gelding operations) ahead of this first outing for Ivan Furtado with a tongue tie refitted. The betting is perhaps the best guide to expectations.

Class Advantage

21/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/1010/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a31/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/01projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength31%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 12 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%21/10Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 27%31/01Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%5/12Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 7%9/01
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.9%Ahead 3/4
11
11
OR 74
8/1
West Byfleet silks

On The Ball Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Dream Ahead - Storm Chaser (Hurricane Run)

Rob HornbyJ Channon
0245
4.0

Fair form when runner-up in 1m Goodwood maiden in May but below that level in a couple of similar races since. Off for 12 weeks (gelded) ahead of this handicap debut.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/042/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/0523/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/066/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 46%18/04Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%2/05Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%23/06Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 64%6/07
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.1%Ahead 2/4
8
9
OR 82
14/1
Eagle Bay silks

Daniel Hunt Wrigleys And Cassels

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Cable Bay - Fondie (Oasis Dream)

S D Bowen60%1/3H Bethell
31175
5.0Going 9.0

Promising third on debut for Ed Walker last autumn and returned to win maiden at Thirsk (7f, good) and novice at Chester (7.5f, good to firm) for new yard in June. A couple of lesser runs in handicaps have followed bit it remains early days.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/105/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par7/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par12/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%18/10Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%5/06Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%27/06Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%7/08Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%12/09
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.0%Ahead 2/4