19:50 · Thistledown

Race 7 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market Fav2
OR 62
2/1
Brief Encounter silks

James Jackson

5yo Mare · 8-9

National Flag - Grand Mere (Bob And John)

Luis Rivera60%0/4James Jackson60%
127132
8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

5/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par5/051/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par22/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%5/05Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 14%22/06Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%19/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%9/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.5%Ahead 1/4
3
Top Pick1
OR 61
6/1
Angel I'm Not silks

Robert Cline

4yo Filly · 8-7

Dynamic Racer - Angel Heritage (Shackleford)

Victor Fernandez60%2/9Robert Cline60%
313345
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

9/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par9/061/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%9/06Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%14/07Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 25%19/08Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%9/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.1%Ahead 1/4
6
3
OR 67
7/2
Drill Blitz silks

Irish Charm Thoroughbreds Llc

4yo Filly · 8-7

Drill - Gold Ink (Invisible Ink)

Jefferson Skerrett0/5−5lbGary Johnson
522423
7.0

Class Advantage

20/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par20/041/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par20/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%20/04Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%20/07Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%19/08Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%9/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.4%Ahead 0/4
5
4
OR 61
4/1
Mandolin Breeze silks

Emerson Equistions Llc And Bestard, Brian

6yo Mare · 8-7

Little Lute - Sassy Shore Breeze (Shore Breeze)

Erik Barbaran60%0/1Loren Huepenbecker
646345
5.0

Class Advantage

12/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par12/051/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par22/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%12/05Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%22/06Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%17/08Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%7/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.3%Ahead 1/4
4
6
OR 53
5/2
Watch Me Daddy silks

Mark D Kuntz, Llc And Wirthwine, Gerald

4yo Filly · 8-9

Flagship - Please Daddy (The Daddy)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%2/4Robert Cline60%
221414
7.0

Class Advantage

3/11 · C8 · finish vs mark above3/11 · mark par3/1117/11 · C8 · finish vs mark above17/11 · mark par20/12 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/12 · mark par15/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 88%3/11Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%20/12Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%24/08Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%7/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.7%Ahead 2/4
1
5
OR 63
15/1
Oh Glorious Day silks

Graver Racing Stables, Llc

5yo Mare · 8-7

Dynamic Racer - Catch The Waves (Pacific Waves)

Chelsey Keiser60%2/12Ivan Vazquez60%
783466
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

11/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/051/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%11/05Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%8/07Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%17/08Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%7/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.9%Ahead 3/4