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18:50 · Thistledown

Race 5 - Allowance

1m3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 81
1/1
Nava's Gold silks

Elkhorn Oaks, Inc

Nava's Gold

3yo Filly · 8-3

Tom's D'etat - Nava (Even The Score)

Luis Rivera60%4/8James Jackson60%
44111D
9.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

25/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par25/1029/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par24/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par13/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%25/10Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%24/06Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%27/08Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%10/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.4%Ahead 3/4
5
3
OR 74
3/1
Gaga's Girl silks

Blazing Meadows Farm LLC

Gaga's Girl

3yo Filly · 8-5

Knicks Go - Frozay All Day (Frosted)

Rocco Bowen60%1/2Timothy Hamm60%
63731
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a14/0715/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par7/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par26/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%14/07Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%15/04Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%7/05Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%26/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%17/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.6%Ahead 3/4
4
5
OR 79
5/2
Striking Lady silks

Lion Palm Racing Stable

Striking Lady

3yo Filly · 8-3

Air Strike - Muttak Bay (Mutakddim)

Jason Simpson60%1/7Ricardo Bailey60%
111733
6.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

9/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par9/0420/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%9/04Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%11/05Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%19/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%10/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.4%Ahead 2/4
6
2
OR 75
10/1
Wonder World silks

Lion Palm Racing Stable

Wonder World

4yo Filly · 8-11

World Of Trouble - Hey Monba (Monba)

T HoughtonRicardo Bailey60%
142521
7.0Class ↓1Going 7.0

Class Advantage

12/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/11 · mark par12/1124/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/11 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par8/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%12/11Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%28/05Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 83%17/08Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.1%Ahead 1/4
1
4
OR 74
12/1
Perfect Date silks

Rolf Obrecht

Perfect Date

4yo Filly · 8-7

Event Driven - With Gratitude (Ecton Park)

Ricardo Feliciano60%1/2Joseph Poole60%
332115
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

4/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par4/0520/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%4/05Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%10/06Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%24/08Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%14/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.8%Ahead 2/4
2
6
OR 79
15/1
Derby Day Kiss silks

Bryan Metz

Derby Day Kiss

5yo Mare · 8-7

Klimt - Derby Day Storm (Habayeb)

Mauro Cedillo60%0/1Robert Cline60%
356466
3.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

24/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par24/0910/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par20/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par16/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/12 · mark par2/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/01 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%24/09Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%20/10Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 20%2/01Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%10/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.5%Ahead 0/4